4 comments

  • datadrivenangel 1 hour ago
    BIS released a larger report in June that identified AI financing/sustainability as one of the biggest risks for the global economy:

    https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2026e.htm

  • lbrito 29 minutes ago
    High growth scenario and medium growth scenario (Graph 2). I feel like an idiot asking - aren't we missing some, or at least one, scenario? Is "medium growth" for the next 4 years really the worst people can think of?
    • anvuong 9 minutes ago
      Essentially yes? The stock market operates entirely on the assumption that the lines will keep going up. As soon as they flatten the whole thing collapses onto itself.
    • oh_my_goodness 21 minutes ago
      Financial news tends to be written for people who can fill in a lot of blanks themselves.
      • mohammedmsgm 16 minutes ago
        Can't agree more, tech and finance bros have a lot in similar except when it comes to business.
    • Swizec 20 minutes ago
      > Is "medium growth" for the next 4 years really the worst people can think of?

      At this point anything less than "medium growth" will crash the economy. We'll have bigger problems if that happens (think 2000 or 2008)

    • jgalt212 21 minutes ago
      Hmm. Perhaps too similar to pre-GFC when the ratings agencies' models never accounted for scenarios where home prices went down at the national level.
    • GlacierFox 20 minutes ago
      Can't you see how much money is being pumped into this lunacy? Of course it's going to succeed. Graphs for failire are such a bummer too and are bad for the economy...
  • redwood 6 minutes ago
    I've seen other reports that suggest the level of investment for eclipses the internet buid out in 2000 and the railroad boom more than a century earlier. I wonder if they use different ways of landing on these wildly different assessments
  • ChrisArchitect 1 hour ago
    (January 2026)